3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,550 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,102/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$312
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$441
Net cashflow
$-15/mo
Annual
$-184/yr
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.25%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-184/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $257k (1.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (19.2% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $210k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#723 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, crime F, amenities F.
Park Hill (urban): math 47% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #26 of 324 in MO (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Southeast Elem. (math 45% / reading 49%, grade D-, #347 of 1,115 statewide, top 35%, 500 students, 32% FRL); Park Hill South High (math 67% / reading 69%, grade B, #13 of 521 statewide, top 2%, 1,860 students, 25% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 234 units permitted in Platte County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Platte County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 0.2% in Riverside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZBDNSPA8X52TQW
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29