3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,545 sqft ·
Built 1991
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,880/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$157
HOA
−$20
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$395
Net cashflow
$-2/mo
Annual
$-28/yr
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.04%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-28/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (0.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (24.7% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $188k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#93 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, commute F.
Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Chukker Creek Elementary (math 51% / reading 55%, grade C, #138 of 597 statewide, top 24%, 664 students, 30% FRL); M. B. Kennedy Middle (math 27% / reading 41%, grade F, #110 of 229 statewide, top 49%, 643 students, 51% FRL); South Aiken High (math 42% / reading 88%, grade B, #85 of 196 statewide, top 45%, 1,356 students, 42% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 51% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Aiken 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 516 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $140k; list at $250k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.1% in Aiken — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZBJW5S4K719ABN
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29