2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Manufactured
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,018/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$435
Tax + insurance
−$49
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$424
Net cashflow
$1,110/mo
Annual
$13,320/yr
Cap rate
22.34%
Cash-on-cash
57.32%
DSCR
3.55
1% rule
2.43%
Cash to close
$23,240
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $83k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $83k).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.4%/yr); year-one equity from $574 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#11 in CO, #1,750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Linton Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #706 of 966 statewide, top 75%, 347 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 24% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-33 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Poudre School District R-1 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-1.4% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 22.3% vs local median 2.6% in Fort Collins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZBZ95X0X4JDF69
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29