15 bd · 8.0 ba ·
6,400 sqft ·
Built 1985
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 97 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,250/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,693
Tax + insurance
−$1,492
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,522
Net cashflow
$-458/mo
Annual
$-5,492/yr
Cap rate
5.68%
Cash-on-cash
-2.19%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$250,600
Investor read
This is a 5 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $895k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-458 ($-5k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-92/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $829k (7.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $725k (19.0% below list).
It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($814k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $725k (19.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $80k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $74k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#789 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Calipatria Unified (town): math 9% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #485 of 517 in CA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Fremont Primary (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,535 of 1,571 statewide, top 98%, 370 students, 90% FRL); Bill E. Young Jr. Middle (math 8% / reading 26%, grade F, #443 of 498 statewide, top 90%, 358 students, 90% FRL); Calipatria High (math 12% / reading 57%, grade F, #618 of 1,170 statewide, top 56%, 369 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools at 87% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 271 units permitted in Imperial County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Imperial County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $280k; list at $895k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$128k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint
— Paint appears slightly worn on interior walls.
Minor: Flooring
— Laminate flooring in the kitchen and bathrooms shows signs of wear.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZC17HB31KQF26H
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29