3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,064 sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,189/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,753
Tax + insurance
−$569
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,090
Net cashflow
$777/mo
Annual
$9,326/yr
Cap rate
8.22%
Cash-on-cash
6.89%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$147,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $525k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $777 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $519k (1.2% below list).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($494k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $494k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#502 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment B, cost of living B; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
Finley School District (suburban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #265 of 291 in WA (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 249 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $142k; list at $525k implies a 270% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.8% in Finley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,189/mo this rent would consume 63% of the median local household income ($99k/yr) (locally 430% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZCY21R0QD5XF38
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29