96 bd · None ba ·
8,560 sqft ·
Built 1850
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 272 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,147/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,218
Tax + insurance
−$1,658
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,341
Net cashflow
$1,930/mo
Annual
$23,159/yr
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.31%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$278,600
Investor read
This is a 1×3bd/1ba + 2×2bd/1ba + 5×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $995k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $241/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $995k).
It's been on market 272 days — a 12% lower offer ($876k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $876k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 7 active listings in the ZIP; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $416k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $633k; list at $995k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-0.1% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $279k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 6.6% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $11,147/mo this rent would consume 263% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 441% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 272 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— The cabinets are outdated and in poor condition.
Major: Kitchen countertops
— The countertops are outdated and in poor condition.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— The fixtures are outdated and in poor condition.
Major: Flooring
— The flooring is in poor condition and needs replacement.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZCYKST6JE3HGV2
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29