2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 137 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,103/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$78
Tax + insurance
−$25
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$232
Net cashflow
$768/mo
Annual
$9,218/yr
Cap rate
68.16%
Cash-on-cash
220.96%
DSCR
10.83
1% rule
7.40%
Cash to close
$4,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $15k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $768 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $103 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $447 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in KS, #979 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-.
Manhattan-Ogden (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #26 of 169 in KS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 132 units permitted in Riley County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riley County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZDF8HWAA6X3AVS
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29