2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,044 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Active
· 474 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,683/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$904
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$563
Net cashflow
$-452/mo
Annual
$-5,428/yr
Cap rate
4.32%
Cash-on-cash
-7.05%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-452 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (29.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $268k (2.5% below list).
It's been on market 474 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $195k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in FL, #790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities D.
Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: J. D. Parker School of Technology (math 39% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 519 students, 72% FRL); Stuart Middle School (math 55% / reading 55%, grade B-, #180 of 571 statewide, top 32%, 867 students, 49% FRL); Jensen Beach High School (math 53% / reading 71%, grade B-, #98 of 667 statewide, top 15%, 1,584 students, 36% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Market conditions: 252 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $135k; list at $275k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.5% in Stuart — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 474 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZEF8B4CM8JYHYJ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29