1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
750 sqft ·
Built —
· Condo
· Active
· 214 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,473/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,156
Tax + insurance
−$685
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$729
Net cashflow
$-97/mo
Annual
$-1,162/yr
Cap rate
6.01%
Cash-on-cash
-1.01%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$115,100
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $411k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-97 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $397k (3.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $347k (15.5% below list).
It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($362k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $347k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Ps 225 Eileen E Zaglin (The) (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #908 of 2,108 statewide, top 46%, 963 students, 84% FRL); Is 98 Bay Academy (math 96% / reading 96%, grade A+, #2 of 729 statewide, top 0%, 1,488 students, 63% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 524 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,473/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 7823% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29