4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,235 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,402/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$378
Tax + insurance
−$197
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$533/mo
Annual
$6,393/yr
Cap rate
16.10%
Cash-on-cash
35.02%
DSCR
2.56
1% rule
1.95%
Cash to close
$20,160
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $533 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($498 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in WV, #524 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Piedmont Year-Round Education (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #350 of 377 statewide, top 95%, 258 students, 0% FRL); Horace Mann Middle School (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #23 of 109 statewide, top 21%, 399 students, 0% FRL); Capital High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #32 of 110 statewide, top 34%, 1,086 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 3.8% in Charleston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,402/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($25k/yr) (locally 107% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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