3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,408 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,037/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$404
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$428
Net cashflow
$-27/mo
Annual
$-326/yr
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.52%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-27 ($-326/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $230k (2.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (13.3% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $204k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#418 in PA, #3,807 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, schools D-, commute F.
Wilson SD (suburban): math 46% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #127 of 539 in PA (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $78k; list at $235k implies a 201% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZFDBYS2HBY58X1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29