4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,030 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,278
Tax + insurance
−$1,072
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,050
Net cashflow
$-400/mo
Annual
$-4,798/yr
Cap rate
5.53%
Cash-on-cash
-2.74%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$175,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $625k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-400 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $554k (11.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $500k (20.0% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $500k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#343 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Somers Central School District (suburban): math 65% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #95 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Primrose School (527 students, 10% FRL); Somers Middle School (math 43% / reading 69%, grade B-, #205 of 729 statewide, top 29%, 569 students, 9% FRL); Somers Senior High School (math 92% / reading 87%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 980 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$51k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 1.7% in Yorktown Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZFT149212VSM5H
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29