2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,920 sqft ·
Built 1951
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 272 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,656/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,208
Tax + insurance
−$565
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$978
Net cashflow
$906/mo
Annual
$10,870/yr
Cap rate
8.87%
Cash-on-cash
9.22%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$117,880
Investor read
This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $421k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $906 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $453/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $421k).
It's been on market 272 days — a 12% lower offer ($370k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $370k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#226 in FL, #3,360 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, amenities F.
St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $210k; list at $421k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $118k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.7% in Fort Pierce — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,656/mo this rent would consume 184% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 1995% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 272 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZG679RC6NR4FT0
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29