4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,648/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$346
Net cashflow
$266/mo
Annual
$3,193/yr
Cap rate
8.42%
Cash-on-cash
7.61%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#438 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
Coffee County (rural): math 27% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #30 of 129 in AL (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: New Brockton Elementary School (math 27% / reading 51%, grade F, #257 of 627 statewide, top 41%, 708 students, 64% FRL); New Brockton Middle School (361 students, 69% FRL); New Brockton High School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #70 of 305 statewide, top 27%, 381 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 45% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 444 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 137 units permitted in Coffee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $51k; list at $150k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZHAJMNAY5PKCRR
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29