3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,201/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,118
Tax + insurance
−$355
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$252
Net cashflow
$-525/mo
Annual
$-6,301/yr
Cap rate
3.34%
Cash-on-cash
-10.55%
DSCR
0.53
1% rule
0.56%
Cash to close
$59,707
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-525 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#159 in IA, #2,887 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Davis County Community School District (rural): math 59% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #236 of 289 in IA (top 82%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 319859.8% of price.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davis County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZHB7ZA8TKK4T3F
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29