1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
420 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 256 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,204/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$168
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$253
Net cashflow
$664/mo
Annual
$7,966/yr
Cap rate
33.68%
Cash-on-cash
97.81%
DSCR
5.35
1% rule
3.76%
Cash to close
$8,960
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $32k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $664 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
It's been on market 256 days — a 12% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $28k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $221 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $960 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#525 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Lake Placid Middle School (math 42% / reading 33%, grade F, #395 of 571 statewide, top 70%, 621 students, 75% FRL); Lake Placid High School (math 36% / reading 35%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 868 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 1488 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 33.7% vs local median 3.7% in Lake Placid — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 256 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZHM91A8D8CAG7Z
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29