3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,072 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 96 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,898/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,041
Tax + insurance
−$191
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$399
Net cashflow
$267/mo
Annual
$3,209/yr
Cap rate
7.91%
Cash-on-cash
5.77%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$55,580
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $198k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (4.4% below list).
It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($181k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,522 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Damon ISD (rural): math 25% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #1,103 of 1,141 in TX (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29