1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
427 sqft ·
Built 2023
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,131/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$205
Tax + insurance
−$65
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$238
Net cashflow
$624/mo
Annual
$7,488/yr
Cap rate
25.49%
Cash-on-cash
68.57%
DSCR
4.05
1% rule
2.90%
Cash to close
$10,920
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $39k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $624 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $38k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Boise Independent District (urban): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #36 of 92 in ID (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Valley View Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #176 of 357 statewide, top 53%, 350 students, 36% FRL); Fairmont Junior High School (math 23% / reading 44%, grade F, #87 of 109 statewide, top 80%, 677 students, 41% FRL); Capital Senior High School (math 34% / reading 57%, grade D-, #59 of 169 statewide, top 35%, 1,220 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools at 35% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 194 active listings in the ZIP; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 25.5% vs local median 2.6% in Boise City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZHRR0Z8AWQ37RF
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29