1257 Magnolia Trl

Wilmer, TX 75172

$257,999D

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · Built 2026 · SingleFamily · Active · 6 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,939/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,353
• Tax + insurance: −$430
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$407
• Net cashflow: $-251/mo
• Annual: $-3,013/yr
• Cap rate: 5.13%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.17%
• DSCR: 0.81
• 1% rule: 0.75%
• Cash to close: $72,240

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $258k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-251 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (14.1% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (24.8% below list).
• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $194k (24.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,054 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Wilmer-Hutchins El (math 32% / reading 31%, grade F, #2,396 of 4,322 statewide, top 56%, 562 students, 94% FRL); Kennedy-Curry Middle (math 29% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,279 of 1,662 statewide, top 78%, 626 students, 100% FRL); Wilmer-Hutchins H S (math 14% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 1,020 students, 73% FRL).
• Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.