2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,040 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Manufactured
· Active
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,290/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$60
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$481
Net cashflow
$1,382/mo
Annual
$16,586/yr
Cap rate
29.99%
Cash-on-cash
84.62%
DSCR
4.77
1% rule
3.27%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#177 in WA, #4,581 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
Peninsula School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #21 of 291 in WA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Artondale Elementary School (402 students, 20% FRL); Gig Harbor High (1,435 students, 15% FRL) — zoned schools at 17% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 30.0% vs local median 1.9% in Gig Harbor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZJDZVS94FNQTYG
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29