2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,447 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,677/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,720
Tax + insurance
−$1,500
HOA
−$728
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,292
Net cashflow
$5,437/mo
Annual
$65,246/yr
Cap rate
13.54%
Cash-on-cash
25.89%
DSCR
2.15
1% rule
1.74%
Cash to close
$252,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $900k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($65k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($16k rent vs $900k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($886k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $886k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $96k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $90k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#740 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Westhampton Beach Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #81 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Westhampton Beach Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 356 students, 43% FRL); Westhampton Middle School (math 61% / reading 63%, grade B+, #136 of 729 statewide, top 20%, 434 students, 26% FRL); Westhampton Beach Senior High School (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #147 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 964 students, 24% FRL).
Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $648k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$155k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 9.3% in Westhampton Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $15,677/mo this rent would consume 150% of the median local household income ($125k/yr) (locally 43% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZJNXBN4K3VF6VF
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29