4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,584 sqft ·
Built 1924
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$27,254/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$10,462
Tax + insurance
−$2,415
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$5,723
Net cashflow
$8,654/mo
Annual
$103,845/yr
Cap rate
11.53%
Cash-on-cash
18.71%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$558,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $2.00M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($104k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($27k rent vs $2.00M).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $14k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $60k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#41 in CT, #2,966 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living F.
Norwalk School District (urban): math 29% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #104 of 153 in CT (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Rowayton School (math 60% / reading 64%, grade B, #137 of 553 statewide, top 28%, 468 students, 33% FRL); Brien Mcmahon High School (math 30% / reading 58%, grade F, #97 of 194 statewide, top 50%, 1,711 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Norwalk School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
9 sale attempts since 34y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1.08M; list at $2.00M implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $559k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 3.4% in Norwalk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZJVJW9A622ATRX
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29