2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,646 sqft ·
Built 1907
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,217/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$430
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$676
Net cashflow
$643/mo
Annual
$7,715/yr
Cap rate
9.05%
Cash-on-cash
9.84%
DSCR
1.44
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$78,400
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $643 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $321/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $280k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $68k; list at $280k implies a 312% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
At $3,217/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1588% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZJYZTFDW8FDKGE
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29