2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,003 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Condo
· Pending
· 156 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,409/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$907
Tax + insurance
−$164
HOA
−$85
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$-43/mo
Annual
$-518/yr
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.07%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$48,440
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $173k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-518/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (4.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (18.6% below list).
It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($152k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Hickory City Schools (urban): math 43% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #95 of 178 in NC (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 423 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,016 units permitted in Catawba County in 2024 (255 in 5+ unit buildings).
Catawba County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29