3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$902/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$260
Tax + insurance
−$80
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$189
Net cashflow
$373/mo
Annual
$4,478/yr
Cap rate
15.34%
Cash-on-cash
32.31%
DSCR
2.44
1% rule
1.82%
Cash to close
$13,860
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($902 rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($342 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#860 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Okaw Valley CUSD 302 (rural): math 11% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #424 of 620 in IL (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shelby County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZKB27X9FSKWFKB
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29