3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,215 sqft ·
Built 1991
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 285 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$18,883/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,851
Tax + insurance
−$1,542
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,965
Net cashflow
$8,525/mo
Annual
$102,297/yr
Cap rate
17.35%
Cash-on-cash
39.50%
DSCR
2.76
1% rule
2.04%
Cash to close
$259,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $925k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($102k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $925k).
It's been on market 285 days — a 12% lower offer ($814k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $814k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $88k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $82k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#969 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing C-, schools D+, amenities F.
Westhampton Beach Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #81 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $470k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $259k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$141k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 9.0% in Westhampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $18,883/mo this rent would consume 150% of the median local household income ($151k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 285 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZKD1067X4MA5AE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29