3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,742 sqft ·
Built 2001
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$425
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$630
Net cashflow
$503/mo
Annual
$6,033/yr
Cap rate
8.78%
Cash-on-cash
8.87%
DSCR
1.39
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $503 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $267k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#244 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Fairfield 01 (rural): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #53 of 80 in SC (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Fairfield Elementary (math 16% / reading 17%, grade F, #535 of 597 statewide, top 90%, 463 students, 100% FRL); Fairfield Central High (math 37% / reading 77%, grade C, #120 of 196 statewide, top 64%, 662 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 80% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 91 units permitted in Fairfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fairfield County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $125k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 51% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.9% in Great Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZKM3FGC6H3G2A7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29