121 bd · 121.0 ba ·
4,815 sqft ·
Built 1942
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 182 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$18,058/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,506
Tax + insurance
−$1,750
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,792
Net cashflow
$7,010/mo
Annual
$84,114/yr
Cap rate
14.30%
Cash-on-cash
28.61%
DSCR
2.27
1% rule
1.72%
Cash to close
$294,000
Investor read
This is a 11 × 11-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.05M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($84k/yr) — positive. Per door: $637/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($18k rent vs $1.05M).
It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($924k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $924k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $32k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#135 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Box Elder District (town): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #38 of 80 in UT (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: North Park School (math 41% / reading 33%, grade F, #355 of 585 statewide, top 63%, 635 students, 39% FRL); Bear River High (math 28% / reading 45%, grade F, #86 of 171 statewide, top 52%, 1,172 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 31% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 269 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 461 units permitted in Box Elder County in 2024 (62 in 5+ unit buildings).
Box Elder County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $294k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
At $18,058/mo this rent would consume 265% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 53% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZKYKV0457QG9P2
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29