3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 159 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$849/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$96
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$208/mo
Annual
$2,499/yr
Cap rate
9.87%
Cash-on-cash
12.77%
DSCR
1.57
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($849 rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#606 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
Wellston City (rural): math 38% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #532 of 656 in OH (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bundy Elementary School (297 students, 0% FRL); Wellston Middle School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade D, #477 of 654 statewide, top 74%, 301 students, 0% FRL); Wellston High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #564 of 781 statewide, top 74%, 377 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 59% district-wide (59 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.2% in Wellston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZM36TVD3JV7X9D
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29