4 bd · 0.0 ba ·
2,662 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Other
· Pending
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,947/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$257
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$409
Net cashflow
$233/mo
Annual
$2,790/yr
Cap rate
7.69%
Cash-on-cash
4.98%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/?-bath other listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (2.6% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $195k (2.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#530 in PA, #4,894 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime D, employment D.
Chambersburg Area SD (other): math 26% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #383 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Buchanan El Sch (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,094 of 1,518 statewide, top 73%, 253 students, 100% FRL); Chambersburg Area Ms - South (math 17% / reading 45%, grade F, #374 of 512 statewide, top 73%, 1,054 students, 69% FRL); Chambersburg Area Shs (math 46% / reading 10%, grade F, #362 of 437 statewide, top 83%, 2,348 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 41% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $116k; list at $200k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.9% in Chambersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZMBJXX0192PK6R
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29