3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,702 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 155 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,667/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$294
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$350
Net cashflow
$27/mo
Annual
$326/yr
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.61%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$53,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($326/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (12.2% below list).
It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#163 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Harrah (town): math 24% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #82 of 270 in OK (top 30%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Clara Reynolds Es (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 845 statewide, top 40%, 313 students, 0% FRL); Harrah Hs (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #125 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 630 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.3% in Harrah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZMKP919K7W4QDR
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29