20 bd · 10.0 ba ·
1,332 sqft ·
Built 1952
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,666/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,933
Tax + insurance
−$1,250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,820
Net cashflow
$1,663/mo
Annual
$19,957/yr
Cap rate
8.95%
Cash-on-cash
9.50%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$210,000
Investor read
This is a 5 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $750k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $333/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $750k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($739k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $739k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#497 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, cost of living F.
West Contra Costa Unified (suburban): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #993 of 1,400 in CA (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 2,169 units permitted in Contra Costa County in 2024 (896 in 5+ unit buildings).
Contra Costa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.7% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,666/mo this rent would consume 94% of the median local household income ($111k/yr) (locally 399% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZNDE7RAY1W5W67
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29