2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,474 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,840/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,908
Tax + insurance
−$606
HOA
−$176
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$596
Net cashflow
$-447/mo
Annual
$-5,359/yr
Cap rate
4.82%
Cash-on-cash
-5.26%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$101,854
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $364k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-447 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $299k (17.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $284k (21.9% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($358k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $284k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#83 in IL, #1,366 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Southbury Elem School (math 33% / reading 39%, grade F, #503 of 2,056 statewide, top 25%, 581 students, 0% FRL); Traughber Jr High School (math 25% / reading 31%, grade F, #284 of 665 statewide, top 44%, 1,135 students, 0% FRL); Oswego High School (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #152 of 693 statewide, top 22%, 2,901 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 20% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 300 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 706 units permitted in Kendall County in 2024 (263 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kendall County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.9% in Oswego — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZPFACSB33M6Y7E
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29