4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 1974
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,312/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,098
Tax + insurance
−$564
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$696
Net cashflow
$-45/mo
Annual
$-545/yr
Cap rate
6.16%
Cash-on-cash
-0.49%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$112,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-545/yr) — negative. Per door: $-23/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $392k (2.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $331k (17.2% below list).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($376k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $331k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#82 in FL, #1,240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Walsingham Elementary School (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 392 students, 67% FRL); Largo High School (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 2,055 students, 53% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $185k; list at $400k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.2% in Largo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,312/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1243% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29