2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,311/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$107
HOA
−$585
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$275
Net cashflow
$-75/mo
Annual
$-902/yr
Cap rate
5.16%
Cash-on-cash
-4.03%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
1.64%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-902/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $67k (16.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $67k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#552 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Lehighton Area SD (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #336 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 45% of rent.
Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 180 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carbon County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZQKYX76F7RCK9R
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29