3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,222 sqft ·
Built 1964
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,670/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,054
Tax + insurance
−$216
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$351
Net cashflow
$49/mo
Annual
$589/yr
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.05%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$56,280
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $201k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($589/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (16.9% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $167k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#351 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Wicomico County Public Schools (urban): math 16% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #19 of 24 in MD (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Wicomico High (math 30% / reading 45%, grade F, #138 of 222 statewide, top 63%, 1,325 students, 60% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 21% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Wicomico County Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 278 units permitted in Wicomico County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wicomico County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $59k; list at $201k implies a 241% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.8% in Salisbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZRHM48638370BN
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29