8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,398 sqft ·
Built 2025
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 319 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,353/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$542
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$704
Net cashflow
$404/mo
Annual
$4,843/yr
Cap rate
7.78%
Cash-on-cash
5.32%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$90,972
Investor read
This is a 2 × 4-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $202/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $325k).
It's been on market 319 days — a 12% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $286k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#252 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities C-, schools D, commute F.
Nacogdoches ISD (town): math 26% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #688 of 826 in TX (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Nacogdoches County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.3% in Nacogdoches — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,353/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 711% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 319 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: Roof
— Aged appearance
Major: Landscaping
— Sparse and overgrown
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZRJXKH7F6JAEP5
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29