3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,736 sqft ·
Built 1989
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 175 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,561/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,620
Tax + insurance
−$436
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$538
Net cashflow
$-33/mo
Annual
$-394/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.46%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$86,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $309k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-394/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $303k (1.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (17.1% below list).
It's been on market 175 days — a 12% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $256k (17.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#27 in GA, #3,621 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F.
Cobb County (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #25 of 174 in GA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Clay-Harmony Leland Elementary School (math 20% / reading 25%, grade F, #803 of 1,228 statewide, top 66%, 939 students, 67% FRL); Lindley Middle School (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #372 of 470 statewide, top 80%, 1,096 students, 82% FRL); Pebblebrook High School (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #171 of 424 statewide, top 41%, 2,511 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 39% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cobb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 405 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,625 units permitted in Cobb County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cobb County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $309k implies a 289% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.5% in Smyrna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($102k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 175 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZRQGTD87Z44V0J
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29