3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,941 sqft ·
Built 1925
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,048/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$674
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$430
Net cashflow
$-79/mo
Annual
$-947/yr
Cap rate
5.81%
Cash-on-cash
-1.73%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-79 ($-947/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $181k (7.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
Cheektowaga-Sloan Union Free School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #555 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,048/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 841% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZSGECY3THVQ593
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29