5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,825 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 49 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,068/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,023
Tax + insurance
−$374
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$644
Net cashflow
$1,028/mo
Annual
$12,330/yr
Cap rate
12.62%
Cash-on-cash
22.58%
DSCR
2.00
1% rule
1.57%
Cash to close
$54,600
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $514/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $195k).
It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $189k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#186 in NY, #2,758 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
North Colonie CSD (suburban): math 70% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #102 of 590 in NY (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Shaker Middle School (math 54% / reading 72%, grade B+, #129 of 729 statewide, top 18%, 1,423 students, 26% FRL); Shaker High School (math 98% / reading 93%, grade A+, #76 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 2,018 students, 25% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 73 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
At $3,068/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1224% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZSXQM046JZN6ZS
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29