3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,642 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 152 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,092/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$188
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$439
Net cashflow
$547/mo
Annual
$6,564/yr
Cap rate
10.42%
Cash-on-cash
14.76%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $547 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#185 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, amenities F, commute F.
Montgomery County Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #47 of 131 in VA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Auburn Elementary (math 53% / reading 60%, grade C+, #630 of 1,108 statewide, top 57%, 558 students, 50% FRL); Auburn Middle (math 40% / reading 64%, grade C+, #218 of 342 statewide, top 65%, 286 students, 49% FRL); Auburn High (math 62% / reading 82%, grade B+, #134 of 319 statewide, top 45%, 381 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 32% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 323 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
13 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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