3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$997/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$209
Net cashflow
$269/mo
Annual
$3,234/yr
Cap rate
10.60%
Cash-on-cash
15.40%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($997 rent vs $75k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#238 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Pickens County (rural): math 7% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #108 of 129 in AL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Reform Elementary School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #508 of 627 statewide, top 84%, 209 students, 77% FRL); Pickens County High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #252 of 305 statewide, top 84%, 293 students, 72% FRL).
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pickens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pickens County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $18k; list at $75k implies a 305% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 44% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZT39E1EF3GA1C9
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29