3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,468 sqft ·
Built 2008
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 130 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$272
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$409
Net cashflow
$168/mo
Annual
$2,013/yr
Cap rate
7.25%
Cash-on-cash
3.42%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$58,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (7.1% below list).
It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $185k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#135 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Lee County (rural): math 44% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #21 of 174 in GA (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lee County Primary School (645 students, 48% FRL); Lee County Middle School East (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #147 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 676 students, 51% FRL); Lee County High School (math 10% / reading 19%, grade F, #315 of 424 statewide, top 76%, 1,429 students, 36% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lee County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 208 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 133 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $132k; list at $210k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 90% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29