2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
885 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Condo
· Active
· 97 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,049/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$400
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$220
Net cashflow
$-89/mo
Annual
$-1,071/yr
Cap rate
4.87%
Cash-on-cash
-5.10%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
1.40%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $75k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $62k (17.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $548 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: HOA is 38% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-6.6%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 7043% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: ceiling fan
— dust accumulation
Minor: light fixture
— dust accumulation
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZTXDT77T3VFJFA
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29