4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,446 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,899/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,064
Tax + insurance
−$787
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,029
Net cashflow
$-981/mo
Annual
$-11,776/yr
Cap rate
4.88%
Cash-on-cash
-5.06%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$217,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $775k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-981 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $602k (22.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $490k (36.8% below list).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($752k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $490k (36.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $83k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $78k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $423k; list at $775k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$133k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZTYEJJ9CSSWM8Q
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29