4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,620 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,961/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$237
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$412
Net cashflow
$1/mo
Annual
$12/yr
Cap rate
6.30%
Cash-on-cash
0.02%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($12/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (21.6% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $196k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#76 in MI, #1,669 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Lowell Area Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #51 of 540 in MI (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Cherry Creek Elementary School (math 49% / reading 61%, grade C, #271 of 1,397 statewide, top 20%, 468 students, 43% FRL); Lowell Middle School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade B-, #80 of 493 statewide, top 17%, 771 students, 30% FRL); Lowell Senior High School (math 44% / reading 64%, grade C-, #123 of 713 statewide, top 17%, 1,099 students, 29% FRL).
Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $103k; list at $250k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.0% in Lowell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZV1ZTVBBM9B3C4
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29