4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,532 sqft ·
Built 2000
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,287/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$173
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$477/mo
Annual
$5,727/yr
Cap rate
15.63%
Cash-on-cash
33.33%
DSCR
2.48
1% rule
1.84%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $477 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#169 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Mason County Schools (town): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #44 of 55 in WV (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mason County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29