4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,094 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 155 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,357/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,040
Tax + insurance
−$648
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$495
Net cashflow
$-826/mo
Annual
$-9,911/yr
Cap rate
3.75%
Cash-on-cash
-9.10%
DSCR
0.60
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$108,919
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $389k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-826 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (30.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (39.4% below list).
It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($342k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $236k (39.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $42k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $39k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#366 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: John F. Turner Senior Elementary School (math 38% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,471 of 2,144 statewide, top 69%, 543 students, 69% FRL); Southwest Middle School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 920 students, 58% FRL); Bayside High School (math 27% / reading 40%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 1,854 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 43% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 1111 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$67k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZV46BSAKK53TCG
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29