20 bd · 0.0 ba ·
3,403 sqft ·
Built 1947
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,688/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,195
Tax + insurance
−$620
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,404
Net cashflow
$468/mo
Annual
$5,620/yr
Cap rate
7.00%
Cash-on-cash
2.51%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$224,000
Investor read
This is a 5 × 4-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $800k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $94/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $669k (16.4% below list).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($752k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $669k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#254 in NY, #4,026 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Lackawanna City School District (suburban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #588 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Martin Road Elementary School (math 12% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,944 of 2,108 statewide, top 92%, 560 students, 86% FRL); Lackawanna Middle School (math 5% / reading 27%, grade F, #702 of 729 statewide, top 96%, 407 students, 80% FRL); Lackawanna High School (math 72%, 560 students, 71% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $150k; list at $800k implies a 433% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.4% in Lackawanna — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29