3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,384 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,211/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$267
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$254
Net cashflow
$218/mo
Annual
$2,615/yr
Cap rate
9.20%
Cash-on-cash
10.38%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,113 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, crime F.
Edwards-Knox Central School District (rural): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #454 of 590 in NY (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Edwards-Knox Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,361 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 294 students, 56% FRL); Edwards-Knox Junior-Senior High School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C-, #912 of 1,100 statewide, top 85%, 221 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ZVVM1X14EDHG4Z
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29